Proyeksi Jumlah Pelanggan Telepon Bergerak Seluler di Indonesia
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Abstract
Teknologi telekomunikasi nirkabel terus berkembang. Diawali dengan kehadiran teknologi NMT dan AMPS yang menitikberatkan kepada komunikasi suara, diikuti dengan kemunculan teknologi GSM maupun CDMA yang merupakan awal dari sistem komunikasi digital dengan diperkenalkannya layanan pesan singkat dan layanan data kecepatan rendah, saat ini masyarakat Indonesia sudah dapat menikmati layanan 3G dan 3,5G. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mendapatkan proyeksi pelanggan telepon bergerak seluler dengan menggunakan analisis runtun waktu. Hasil analisis terhadap jumlah pelanggan masa lalu menghasilkan proyeksi jumlah pelanggan pada rentang 2013 sampai dengan 2018 berturut-turut sebanyak 312.985.951, 341.129.729, 366.555.056, 389.261.933, 409.250.358, 426.520.331. Jumlah tersebut sedikit berbeda dibandingkan dengan hasil proyeksi berdasarkan proyeksi teledensitas seluler dan proyeksi pertumbuhan penduduk dengan perbedaan maksimum sebesar 0,51%.
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Telecommunication
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